Bankster’s NBA 3-Point Play – March 16, 2019
Fanball’s NBA 3 Point Play
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Did you know that on even a six game NBA slate, there are approximately 250 BILLION lineup combinations you can make? To be able to hit on the 1 lineup out of those combinations is harder than winning the lottery. A reduced player pool, though, can give you a significant advantage by reducing the possible lineup combinations you can make. If we limit our choices to only 5 players per position, you now have 400,000 possible lineup combinations you can make (pricing helps reduce this number even lower). Sure, that’s still a lot of lineup choices but it’s only .00016% of the total possible lineup combinations everyone else is working with. That is a SIGNIFICANT advantage for you if you’re choosing from a strong reduced player pool. That’s where we come in to help.
Bankster DFS, The Home of the Reduced Player Pool, has teamed up with Fanball to give you a daily sneak peak of three of the plays we have included in our Bankster DFS reduced player pool. We aren’t lineup sellers; we write full articles that explain which players we like, why we like those players, and how we like to build our teams. We are a learning site more than anything, and you can see that in heavy member interaction on our various Slack Chat channels (we have one for every sport that we cover – NBA, AAF, NFL, NHL, MLB, EPL, PGA, MMA, CBB, WWE, sports betting, and Best Ball 10’s). You can get the rest of our reduced player pool, our daily articles, our members only slack chat, and Fanball exclusives with a Bankster DFS membership. That membership costs only $2.99/wk and you get everything mentioned above with it; 10% of all membership fees are donated to Donors Choose (a site that funds projects for teachers and their classrooms). You can contact me about membership on Twitter @bankster17 or sign up for service here.
Let’s look at the 3 point plays for Friday, March 15…
From the Corner: Bradley Beal (WSH – SG – $9,800)
From the mouth of Derrick Mcgough (@mcgoughderrick), “he seems to go overlooked a lot and all he does is bang out 45-65 point nights. It doesn’t matter if it’s a back to back game, or how many minutes he has played, he just gets the job done. Tonight he gets a Memphis team that has dropped in defense efficiency a ton after their slew of trades.” With 45+ fantasy points in nine of ten games, Beal really had a 5x floor on this price point. What we find awesome is that matchup data doesn’t often take into account recent play, and that red writing for opponent matchup next to Beal will keep far too many people off of him. Any time you can get a player you love at a reduced ownership that’s a sure sign to lock him into your lineup.
From the Wing: Damian Lillard (POR – PG – $9,500)
This is the third time in just over a week that we have featured Lillard in the 3 Point Play but he doesn’t really let us down and he’s in a great spot again tonight. With so much focus being put on the OKC/GSW showdown, it’s quite likely that people are going to load up there with Westy, George, and Curry while overlooking someone like Lillard. While there’s always some concern with Lillard’s upside, the Spurs are a great matchup for him. Not only are they playing their second game in as many days (a perfect spot for Pop to rest of of his players), but Lillard has been incredibly productive against San Antonio this year. In three games this year against the Spurs, he’s averaged just over 52 fantasy points per game, a number that represents a 16% increase over his season average of just under 45 fantasy points per game. Locking him in at a discounted price and ownership over Curry/Westbrook is a big advantage for you if he continues his barrage against San Antonio.
From Way Downtown: Wesley Matthews (IND – SF – $3,100)
Matthews continues to be priced way down despite having a significant role in the Pacers offense and paying off his price point with regularity. Over his last ten games, he’s scored more than 20 fantasy points eight times. That 20 fantasy point floor represents a 5x return on his price, which is more than suitable given his potential upside in a matchup like he has tonight. The Nuggets like to run a little faster pace, and that benefits both sides from a fantasy perspective. The only time Matthews faced Denver this year he looked great with a 27 point fantasy night. Give us that tonight and Matthews blows past his floor and gives you a great foundation to start your lineup at a cheap price.
On the Bench (Fade of the Day): Mike Conley (MEM – PG – $7,600)
Conley has hit value on the road only once in his last ten games. His one game against Washington this year saw him only record 37 fantasy points; not a score we are going to want if we spend what it costs to roster him. In order to use Conley we are going to have to fade Westbrook, Curry, Lillard, and Doncic; not something that feels optimal on a slate that is very guard heavy. It’s not that there’s anything inherently wrong with Conley, as their was earlier this week when we faded Drummond because there WAS something wrong with his matchup and prior history against the Heat. This fade is much more about him not being in our player pool given the strength of the other players at his position.
Don’t forget that you can access the rest of our Reduced Player Pool as a Bankster DFS member. $2.99 per week gets you access to all the content we produce for all the sports we cover, our members only Slack Chat, and exclusive Fanball bonuses. Contact me @bankster17 or you can sign up for a membership here. Thank you for checking our our Fanball NBA 3 Point Play. You can find us here every day throughout the NBA season (MLB coming soon).